Horse Racing Market Movers

A horse's recent form can be further evaluated by checking its strength in the betting market.

Some punters use market moves as one of the main ways to finalise their bets. The idea is that the collective opinion of all these thousands of punters will provide a more accurate idea of the winner of a race.

A horse that has been backed down in price from its morning odds quite heavily is called a steamer.

Market moves for unraced horses with no exposed form in maiden races are also worth checking.

One idea for using market moves is to back the horse that you think will win from your usual form study. If it is favourite just before they go off double your stake. If it has drifted in odds then bet on the horse that been backed into favourite as a saver so you have two horses running for you.

Some of the things that effect market moves are,

·         The state of the horse in the parade ring before that race.

·         Recent form of a horse.

·         A change of jockey from a moderate one to a top class jockey.

·         Connections in the know.

·          inside information from the trainer who knows the horse is in peak condition

·         Sudden change in the ground conditions.

·         Horse racing tipping phone lines have a big effect on morning price changes. A lot of the big bet punters all wanting to back the same horse will shorten the odds.

With so many professional form students now in the game as soon as a horse's morning price comes out they will know at an instant that the horse is very well handicapped. If the horse has opened at a big price of say 15/1 and they know a more realistic price would be 5/1 the word will get out and the price will soon shorten.

So if you want to benefit from all the hard work by the professional just follow the money. If you only bet when you are fully satisfied that everything is in your favour you will benefit in the long run. Good recent form with the ground, course and draw all in your favour. Plus good trainer and jockey form taken into account combined with the horses price remaining strong in the betting market will give you your best chance of coming out ahead of the game.

In Your Service
Paul Coleman



Horse racing tips

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Handicapping And The Effect Of Weight In Horse Racing


Is the weight of a horse really an important factor when selecting your bets?

Does a few pounds really affect the performance of a horse that weighs anything from 700lbs to 1000lbs plus?

The answer is A DEFINITE YES!

The official handicapper has been using weight to level the playing field for years.

If weight was meaningless then they wouldn't do it!

There are however a few ways we can use the weight to help find a winning horse, although no system is totally foolproof.

When examining the form of a race, here is a quick method for using weight as a selection method..

Top weight handicap method

System Rules:
In handicap races only, select the horse that is giving the biggest weight concession of the day (the largest weight difference between a top and a second-top weight).

Should there be joint qualifiers have a wager on each horse.

Methods Logic:
The horse at the top of the handicap is officially rated as being the best horse in the race. Therefore, the horse giving the biggest weight concession is also the horse with the biggest class advantage.

The effect of weight is often overstated, so the class advantage can often prove more effective than the penalty.