All posts by raci2339

Horse Racing Market Movers

A horse's recent form can be further evaluated by checking its strength in the betting market.

Some punters use market moves as one of the main ways to finalise their bets. The idea is that the collective opinion of all these thousands of punters will provide a more accurate idea of the winner of a race.

A horse that has been backed down in price from its morning odds quite heavily is called a steamer.

Market moves for unraced horses with no exposed form in maiden races are also worth checking.

One idea for using market moves is to back the horse that you think will win from your usual form study. If it is favourite just before they go off double your stake. If it has drifted in odds then bet on the horse that been backed into favourite as a saver so you have two horses running for you.

Some of the things that effect market moves are,

·         The state of the horse in the parade ring before that race.

·         Recent form of a horse.

·         A change of jockey from a moderate one to a top class jockey.

·         Connections in the know.

·          inside information from the trainer who knows the horse is in peak condition

·         Sudden change in the ground conditions.

·         Horse racing tipping phone lines have a big effect on morning price changes. A lot of the big bet punters all wanting to back the same horse will shorten the odds.

With so many professional form students now in the game as soon as a horse's morning price comes out they will know at an instant that the horse is very well handicapped. If the horse has opened at a big price of say 15/1 and they know a more realistic price would be 5/1 the word will get out and the price will soon shorten.

So if you want to benefit from all the hard work by the professional just follow the money. If you only bet when you are fully satisfied that everything is in your favour you will benefit in the long run. Good recent form with the ground, course and draw all in your favour. Plus good trainer and jockey form taken into account combined with the horses price remaining strong in the betting market will give you your best chance of coming out ahead of the game.

In Your Service
Paul Coleman

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Horse racing tips

Football Tips

 

Handicapping And The Effect Of Weight In Horse Racing

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Is the weight of a horse really an important factor when selecting your bets?

Does a few pounds really affect the performance of a horse that weighs anything from 700lbs to 1000lbs plus?

The answer is A DEFINITE YES!

The official handicapper has been using weight to level the playing field for years.

If weight was meaningless then they wouldn't do it!

There are however a few ways we can use the weight to help find a winning horse, although no system is totally foolproof.

When examining the form of a race, here is a quick method for using weight as a selection method..

Top weight handicap method

System Rules:
In handicap races only, select the horse that is giving the biggest weight concession of the day (the largest weight difference between a top and a second-top weight).

Should there be joint qualifiers have a wager on each horse.

Methods Logic:
The horse at the top of the handicap is officially rated as being the best horse in the race. Therefore, the horse giving the biggest weight concession is also the horse with the biggest class advantage.

The effect of weight is often overstated, so the class advantage can often prove more effective than the penalty.

 

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Here Are My Top 5 Secrets For Winning Football Bets

Many clients have emailed me saying that they still do the football pools and want some methods to pick drawn games for the coupon...

Winning the football pools on a regular basis seems like a dream (or pure fancy) to many people. It can be done though, if you have a system. How can you work the odds? It's a question that a lot of people ask!

Here are some methods I use for predicting draws......

When attempting to pick winning 'draws', the following factors are to be considered :

1) It is essential to choose the teams instead of choosing the matches. The draw is largely due to the style of team play,

such as :

* A team with a defensive style plus struggling to attack will tend to draw more.

* An Attacking formation and tactics side will not draw too often.

2) If a certain squad draws a alot of games, analyse why :

* Does the team have problems scoring? If yes, why? Maybe the key striker injured?

* Is the team renowned for a solid defence?

* Is it psychological? Maybe a team on a long losing run are possibly trying harder just to get at least a point, that is, a draw.

3) The following trends in matches ending with a draw are common :

* Matches where both teams are happy with a draw. For example, a draw is sufficient for both to avoid relegation or to qualify for a cup competition.

* Matches played in poor weather conditions like heavy rain. These tend to usually lead to less goals and higher chance for a draw.

* Derby matches where a draw may satisfy both sides.

* Home team in great form against and Away team in high table position.

4) Teams which draw a lot with each other repeatedly could mean :

* They are equal in squad strength.

* There is some kind of psychological impact that it is tough for one of them to break the other down.

5) Do take note of the following :

* If a team has been drawing a lot, and if it has appointed a new manager, wait a few matches to determine if this team is still drawing frequently.

* Be careful with newly promoted and newly relegated teams where performance can be erratic.

* Teams improving in form which may be more likely to draw when playing Away.

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paul coleman
In Your Service
paul coleman
The Punter You Can Trust!
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Free Horse Racing System Thisk races

Making profits from horse racing can be achieved in various ways.
One way is from studying the race tracks with a strong draw bias.
I was a little reluctant to give this method away but here goes...

Horses drawn high over the 5f straight sprint course at Thirsk appeared to have a distinct advantage.
There are a number of racecourses with distinct draw biases around the country.
Chester and Beverley probably being the most prevelant but the difference at Thirsk is that the bias was just the same on fast ground as it was on soft ground
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Method

1. Only bet on 5f sprint races at Thirsk with more than 10 runners

2. Perm the 5 or 6 horses drawn highest in combination forecasts or tricasts,

3. Often several complete outsiders will be in the 5 or 6 permed horses so when the bet comes in which it does more often than not the returns could be massive. 

In your service

Paul Coleman

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Multiple Bets 6 Horses

Multiple Bets 6 Horses

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UK Racecourse Guide

Uk Racecourse Guide

1. UK Racecourse Information The Top Horse Racecourses in The UK That Attract The Classiest Runners
2. The unique thing about horse racing tracks in Britain is that every course is different from each other. Some have steep uphill finishes such as Cheltenham or Towcester. Some are very tight tracks such as Chester. Some of the National Hunt tracks have stiff fences or undulating tracks. Here is a list of tracks where a previous course win would be a big advantage in the UK because of the unique characteristics of the course. Ascot, Carlisle, Chester Epsom, Newcastle, Beverly Catterick, Goodwood, Newmarket, Brighton, Pontefract and Lingfield for flat racing. Ascot, Fakenham, Kelso, Newcastle, Carlisle, Fontwell. Leicester, Plumpton, Catterick, Haydock, Lingfield, Sandown, Cheltenham, Aintree, Towcester for National Hunt racing.
3. Most trainers will run their horses within a certain class according to the horse's ability. If a horse shows very good form the trainer may up it in class to a better grade of venue. Most of the top grade racing with the biggest prize money is run at eight courses. These are Ascot, Epsom, York, Newmarket, Goodwood, Doncaster, Sandown, and Newbury. Obviously a horse moving up from a low-grade track to one of these top venues would have to be out of the ordinary to win a race there.
4. There are five classics races run in the UK over the flat season they are the 1000 Guineas, 2000 Guineas, Derby, Oaks and St Leger. Over the national hunt season there is usually a high prize money race run at the weekend with the Cheltenham festival and Grand National being the highlight of the season. Cheltenham racecourse is a must visit course if you are a serious national hunt fan. If you are looking for experiencing the national passion for steeple chase racing then a trip to this track is called for. If you are a flat racing fan then go to Newmarket the home of UK racing. The course has been around since the 1600's and is where the 1000 guineas and 2000 guineas races are run.
5. Ascot is regarded as the standout flat racing track in Britain with around nine group 1 races run each year. It is also host to a number of top grade national hunt races.. It is the royal family's favourite racecourse and the queen attends the Royal Ascot Festival every year without fail. Aintree racecourse hosts probably the world most well-known race The Grand National. The race is run over 4 miles featuring around 30 fences. It is considered the ultimate test for a steeplechasing horse. The Aintree Grand National is watched by a worldwide audience of 600 million.
6. Paul Coleman is a professional horse racing form expert. Paul runs a free Horse Racing email tipping service. You can join free at: http://www.racing-expert.co.uk You can also claim another free horse racing method at: http://www.winfivehundred.com

Winning Gambling Secrets

Winning Gambling Secrets

Gambling Secrets Revealed
1. These Must Be Some of the Best Kept Gambling Secrets in the World
2. Many people gamble for enjoyment. I find the enjoyment is increased when you can make a profit as well. Here is some of the best kept secrets of gambling. 1. Horse racing form works out most of the year as long as the going remains constant. Any sudden change in the going from good to heavy for example stop betting 2. The UK bookmakers best bets: Trixie bet, each way double and treble, straight win at value prices, each way single, Tote Jackpot, Tote placepot, tote quadpot, tote trifecta and the tote exacta. The tote can offer tremendous value on horses from unfashionable trainers or ridden by less known jockeys
3. 3. Never chase your losses. There is always another day 4. If your time is very limited concentrate on the higher class races ridden by the best jockeys as form is usually more reliable 5. Look for a horse with good current form. Only support horses with rider and trainers in good form. If a trainers string is running badly don't support them.
4. 6. Be wary of backing horses that are not running over their ideal distance. 7. Check for horses that have run well from a bad draw last time out 8. Look out for horses that win at unusual courses such as Epsom, Chester, Towcester, Fakenham. They obviously like these type of tracks.
5. 9. Shop around different bookmakers for the best prices, you don't have to take the first price on offer 10. Be disciplined and Keep a record of your bets. Keep a note of the date, stake, type of bet, odds, type of race etc, this will give you an idea of the weak and strong points of your betting activity 11. Be careful with your anti-post bets on the flat when the draw is a big factor. You could back a horse at a good price, then on the day of the race it gets an impossible draw

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How To Win With A Big Each Way Treble Bet

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Lay Betting Explained Horses

Lay Betting Explained Horses

 

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